DateThis TeamOpponentExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew Rating
09/17/17Charlottesville (267)vs Brandywine (104)Expected: 0.28, Actual: 0.44+9.1771.2Stats
09/02/17Charlottesville (161)vs Jacksonville (318)Expected: -0.64, Actual: -0.33+18.4762.1Stats
09/01/17Charlottesville (144)vs Montreal (486)Expected: -0.68, Actual: -0.54+7.9743.7Stats
06/25/17Charlottesville (214)vs Tri-City (169)Expected: 0.48, Actual: 0.12-21.3735.8Stats
06/24/17Charlottesville (233)vs Ithaca (159)Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.19-14.8757.0Stats
06/03/17Charlottesville (238)vs DC (169)Expected: 0.43, Actual: 0.17-15.2771.8Stats
05/13/17Charlottesville (318)vs Mother State (104)Expected: 0.64, Actual: 0.51-8.1786.9Stats
04/29/17Charlottesville (260)vs Steel City (53)Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.66+20.1795.0Stats
03/11/17Charlottesville (169)vs Columbia (157)Expected: -0.13, Actual: 0.04+10.0774.9Stats
11/06/16Charlottesville (197)vs Calgary (252)Expected: 0.00, Actual: -0.12-7.5764.9Stats
11/04/16Charlottesville (200)vs Brandywine (205)Expected: -0.02, Actual: -0.01+0.6772.3Stats
08/28/16Charlottesville (165)vs Calgary (189)Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.07+0.4771.8Stats
08/27/16Charlottesville (233)vs Wasatch (146)Expected: 0.04, Actual: 0.23+11.0771.4Stats
08/26/16Charlottesville (247)vs Sac City (163)Expected: 0.17, Actual: 0.20+2.3760.4Stats
08/26/16Charlottesville (226)vs Grand Raggidy (106)Expected: 0.28, Actual: 0.36+4.5758.0Stats
06/18/16Charlottesville (159)vs Windy City (168)Expected: -0.27, Actual: -0.03+14.2753.5Stats
06/18/16Charlottesville (177)vs Madison (183)Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.02+7.0739.3Stats
06/11/16Charlottesville (151)vs Brandywine (263)Expected: 0.10, Actual: -0.27-21.9732.3Stats
05/28/16Charlottesville (138)vs Steel City (142)Expected: -0.15, Actual: -0.01+8.1754.3Stats
05/08/16Charlottesville (192)vs Ann Arbor (193)Expected: -0.26, Actual: -0.00+15.3746.1Stats
05/07/16Charlottesville (154)vs Detroit (394)Expected: -0.33, Actual: -0.44-6.4730.8Stats
04/17/16Charlottesville (41)vs Atlanta (434)Expected: -0.37, Actual: -0.83-27.0737.2Stats
04/16/16Charlottesville (160)vs Columbia (161)Expected: -0.23, Actual: -0.00+13.7764.2Stats
04/16/16Charlottesville (57)vs Jacksonville (314)Expected: -0.70, Actual: -0.69+0.7750.6Stats
09/20/15Charlottesville (134)vs Steel City (281)Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.35-13.4749.9Stats
09/19/15Charlottesville (160)vs Detroit (193)Expected: -0.26, Actual: -0.09+10.1763.3Stats
09/18/15Charlottesville (83)vs Denver (379)Expected: -0.63, Actual: -0.64-0.7753.2Stats
09/18/15Charlottesville (184)vs Glasgow (159)Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.07-0.5753.9Stats
08/01/15Charlottesville (285)vs Ithaca (126)Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.39-2.9754.3Stats
07/25/15Charlottesville (254)vs Blue Ridge (96)Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.45+14.2757.2Stats
06/14/15Charlottesville (135)vs Crime City (269)Expected: 0.01, Actual: -0.33-20.1743.0Stats
06/13/15Charlottesville (308)vs Charlotte (103)Expected: 0.63, Actual: 0.50-7.7763.2Stats
06/12/15Charlottesville (286)vs North Star (88)Expected: 0.30, Actual: 0.53+13.6770.9Stats
06/06/15Charlottesville (215)vs DC (119)Expected: 0.26, Actual: 0.29+1.9757.3Stats
04/26/15Charlottesville (249)vs Calgary (124)Expected: -0.01, Actual: 0.34+20.1755.4Stats
04/25/15Charlottesville (317)vs Ft. Myers (115)Expected: 0.47, Actual: 0.47-0.3735.3Stats
03/28/15Charlottesville (204)vs Nashville (143)Expected: -0.03, Actual: 0.18+12.4735.6Stats
03/14/15Charlottesville (154)vs Steel City (215)Expected: -0.26, Actual: -0.17+5.7723.2Stats
10/25/14Charlottesville (276)vs Carolina (114)Expected: 0.50, Actual: 0.42-5.1717.4Stats
07/12/14Charlottesville (244)vs Hard Knox (60)Expected: 0.55, Actual: 0.61+3.1722.5Stats
06/22/14Charlottesville (466)vs Lehigh Valley (43)Expected: 0.36, Actual: 0.83+27.7719.5Stats
06/21/14Charlottesville (187)vs Helsinki (168)Expected: 0.23, Actual: 0.05-10.5691.8Stats
06/07/14Charlottesville (150)vs Charlotte (157)Expected: 0.27, Actual: -0.02-17.6702.2Stats
05/17/14Charlottesville (598)vs River City (57)Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.83+29.9719.8Stats
04/27/14Charlottesville (348)vs Cape Fear (64)Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.69+18.6690.0Stats
04/26/14Charlottesville (183)vs Roc City (134)Expected: 0.11, Actual: 0.15+2.5671.4Stats
04/19/14Charlottesville (246)vs Dominion (71)Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.55+6.6668.9Stats
03/15/14Charlottesville (226)vs Memphis (129)Expected: -0.01, Actual: 0.27+16.4662.3Stats
11/03/13Charlottesville (57)vs Philly (511)Expected: -0.80, Actual: -0.80-0.2645.8Stats
08/17/13Charlottesville (234)vs Greensboro (126)Actual: 0.30 646.0Stats
07/20/13Charlottesville (224)vs Dominion (106)Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.36+9.5646.0Stats
07/13/13Charlottesville (334)vs Black Rose Rollers (104)Expected: 0.13, Actual: 0.53+23.3636.5Stats
05/18/13Charlottesville (106)vs Charlotte (163)Expected: -0.01, Actual: -0.21-12.0613.2Stats
04/13/13Charlottesville (314)vs Rocktown (77)Expected: 0.28, Actual: 0.61+19.5625.2Stats
03/24/13Charlottesville (378)vs Mason-Dixon (124)Expected: 0.69, Actual: 0.51-10.7605.7Stats
03/09/13Charlottesville (232)vs Little City (127)Expected: 0.43, Actual: 0.29-7.9616.4Stats
02/10/13Charlottesville (260)vs New River Valley (163)Actual: 0.23 624.3Stats
DateTeamsScoreIncoming
Ratings
ExpectedActualExpected
vs. Actual
ChangeNew
Ratings
09/17/17Charlottesville
Brandywine
267
104
762.1
692.6
0.280.44Expected: 0.28, Actual: 0.44+9.1
-9.1
771.2
683.5
Stats
09/02/17Charlottesville
Jacksonville
161
318
743.7
895.3
-0.64-0.33Expected: -0.64, Actual: -0.33+18.4
-18.4
762.1
876.9
Stats
09/01/17Charlottesville
Montreal
144
486
735.8
900.5
-0.68-0.54Expected: -0.68, Actual: -0.54+7.9
-7.9
743.7
892.6
Stats
06/25/17Charlottesville
Tri-City
214
169
757.0
659.8
0.480.12Expected: 0.48, Actual: 0.12-21.3
+21.3
735.8
681.0
Stats
06/24/17Charlottesville
Ithaca
233
159
771.8
670.9
0.440.19Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.19-14.8
+14.8
757.0
685.6
Stats
06/03/17Charlottesville
DC
238
169
786.9
706.8
0.430.17Expected: 0.43, Actual: 0.17-15.2
+15.2
771.8
721.9
Stats
05/13/17Charlottesville
Mother State
318
104
795.0
653.1
0.640.51Expected: 0.64, Actual: 0.51-8.1
+8.1
786.9
661.1
Stats
04/29/17Charlottesville
Steel City
260
53
774.9
697.5
0.320.66Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.66+20.1
-20.1
795.0
677.4
Stats
03/11/17Charlottesville
Columbia
169
157
764.9
780.8
-0.130.04Expected: -0.13, Actual: 0.04+10.0
-10.0
774.9
770.7
Stats
11/06/16Charlottesville
Calgary
197
252
772.3
771.4
0.00-0.12Expected: 0.00, Actual: -0.12-7.5
+7.5
764.9
778.9
Stats
11/04/16Charlottesville
Brandywine
200
205
771.8
776.2
-0.02-0.01Expected: -0.02, Actual: -0.01+0.6
-0.6
772.3
775.6
Stats
08/28/16Charlottesville
Calgary
165
189
771.4
786.2
-0.07-0.07Expected: -0.07, Actual: -0.07+0.4
-0.4
771.8
785.9
Stats
08/27/16Charlottesville
Wasatch
233
146
760.4
751.8
0.040.23Expected: 0.04, Actual: 0.23+11.0
-11.0
771.4
740.8
Stats
08/26/16Charlottesville
Sac City
247
163
758.0
724.7
0.170.20Expected: 0.17, Actual: 0.20+2.3
-2.4
760.4
722.4
Stats
08/26/16Charlottesville
Grand Raggidy
226
106
753.5
694.9
0.280.36Expected: 0.28, Actual: 0.36+4.5
-4.5
758.0
690.4
Stats
06/18/16Charlottesville
Windy City
159
168
739.3
787.6
-0.27-0.03Expected: -0.27, Actual: -0.03+14.2
-14.2
753.5
773.4
Stats
06/18/16Charlottesville
Madison
177
183
732.3
766.2
-0.13-0.02Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.02+7.0
-7.0
739.3
759.2
Stats
06/11/16Charlottesville
Brandywine
151
263
754.3
744.9
0.10-0.27Expected: 0.10, Actual: -0.27-21.9
+21.9
732.3
766.8
Stats
05/28/16Charlottesville
Steel City
138
142
746.1
787.7
-0.15-0.01Expected: -0.15, Actual: -0.01+8.1
-8.1
754.3
779.6
Stats
05/08/16Charlottesville
Ann Arbor
192
193
730.8
773.6
-0.26-0.00Expected: -0.26, Actual: -0.00+15.3
-15.3
746.1
758.3
Stats
05/07/16Charlottesville
Detroit
154
394
737.2
794.6
-0.33-0.44Expected: -0.33, Actual: -0.44-6.4
+6.4
730.8
801.0
Stats
04/17/16Charlottesville
Atlanta
41
434
764.2
835.1
-0.37-0.83Expected: -0.37, Actual: -0.83-27.0
+27.0
737.2
862.1
Stats
04/16/16Charlottesville
Columbia
160
161
750.6
791.7
-0.23-0.00Expected: -0.23, Actual: -0.00+13.7
-13.7
764.2
778.0
Stats
04/16/16Charlottesville
Jacksonville
57
314
749.9
918.2
-0.70-0.69Expected: -0.70, Actual: -0.69+0.7
-0.7
750.6
917.6
Stats
09/20/15Charlottesville
Steel City
134
281
763.3
788.9
-0.13-0.35Expected: -0.13, Actual: -0.35-13.4
+13.4
749.9
802.3
Stats
09/19/15Charlottesville
Detroit
160
193
753.2
807.3
-0.26-0.09Expected: -0.26, Actual: -0.09+10.1
-10.1
763.3
797.2
Stats
09/18/15Charlottesville
Denver
83
379
753.9
902.0
-0.63-0.64Expected: -0.63, Actual: -0.64-0.7
+0.7
753.2
902.6
Stats
09/18/15Charlottesville
Glasgow
184
159
754.3
738.2
0.080.07Expected: 0.08, Actual: 0.07-0.5
+0.5
753.9
738.6
Stats
08/01/15Charlottesville
Ithaca
285
126
757.2
674.7
0.440.39Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.39-2.9
+2.9
754.3
677.6
Stats
07/25/15Charlottesville
Blue Ridge
254
96
743.0
707.0
0.210.45Expected: 0.21, Actual: 0.45+14.2
-14.2
757.2
692.8
Stats
06/14/15Charlottesville
Crime City
135
269
763.2
768.0
0.01-0.33Expected: 0.01, Actual: -0.33-20.1
+20.1
743.0
788.1
Stats
06/13/15Charlottesville
Charlotte
308
103
770.9
616.0
0.630.50Expected: 0.63, Actual: 0.50-7.7
+7.7
763.2
623.7
Stats
06/12/15Charlottesville
North Star
286
88
757.3
702.4
0.300.53Expected: 0.30, Actual: 0.53+13.6
-13.6
770.9
688.8
Stats
06/06/15Charlottesville
DC
215
119
755.4
692.1
0.260.29Expected: 0.26, Actual: 0.29+1.9
-1.9
757.3
690.3
Stats
04/26/15Charlottesville
Calgary
249
124
735.3
743.1
-0.010.34Expected: -0.01, Actual: 0.34+20.1
-20.1
755.4
723.0
Stats
04/25/15Charlottesville
Ft. Myers
317
115
735.6
639.8
0.470.47Expected: 0.47, Actual: 0.47-0.3
+0.3
735.3
640.0
Stats
03/28/15Charlottesville
Nashville
204
143
723.2
719.2
-0.030.18Expected: -0.03, Actual: 0.18+12.4
-12.4
735.6
706.8
Stats
03/14/15Charlottesville
Steel City
154
215
717.4
760.3
-0.26-0.17Expected: -0.26, Actual: -0.17+5.7
-5.7
723.2
754.6
Stats
10/25/14Charlottesville
Carolina
276
114
722.5
622.9
0.500.42Expected: 0.50, Actual: 0.42-5.1
+5.1
717.4
628.1
Stats
07/12/14Charlottesville
Hard Knox
244
60
719.5
605.8
0.550.61Expected: 0.55, Actual: 0.61+3.1
-3.1
722.5
602.7
Stats
06/22/14Charlottesville
Lehigh Valley
466
43
691.8
622.8
0.360.83Expected: 0.36, Actual: 0.83+27.7
-27.7
719.5
595.1
Stats
06/21/14Charlottesville
Helsinki
187
168
702.2
662.0
0.230.05Expected: 0.23, Actual: 0.05-10.5
+10.5
691.8
672.4
Stats
06/07/14Charlottesville
Charlotte
150
157
719.8
674.3
0.27-0.02Expected: 0.27, Actual: -0.02-17.6
+17.6
702.2
691.9
Stats
05/17/14Charlottesville
River City
598
57
690.0
612.7
0.320.83Expected: 0.32, Actual: 0.83+29.9
-29.9
719.8
582.9
Stats
04/27/14Charlottesville
Cape Fear
348
64
671.4
585.9
0.370.69Expected: 0.37, Actual: 0.69+18.6
-18.6
690.0
567.3
Stats
04/26/14Charlottesville
Roc City
183
134
668.9
653.1
0.110.15Expected: 0.11, Actual: 0.15+2.5
-2.5
671.4
650.6
Stats
04/19/14Charlottesville
Dominion
246
71
662.3
578.8
0.440.55Expected: 0.44, Actual: 0.55+6.6
-6.6
668.9
572.2
Stats
03/15/14Charlottesville
Memphis
226
129
645.8
636.0
-0.010.27Expected: -0.01, Actual: 0.27+16.4
-16.4
662.3
619.5
Stats
11/03/13Charlottesville
Philly
57
511
646.0
852.8
-0.80-0.80Expected: -0.80, Actual: -0.80-0.2
+0.2
645.8
853.0
Stats
08/17/13Charlottesville
Greensboro
234
126
646.0
[unranked]
0.30Actual: 0.30 
 
646.0
612.4
Stats
07/20/13Charlottesville
Dominion
224
106
636.5
585.8
0.200.36Expected: 0.20, Actual: 0.36+9.5
-9.5
646.0
576.3
Stats
07/13/13Charlottesville
Black Rose Rollers
334
104
613.2
597.9
0.130.53Expected: 0.13, Actual: 0.53+23.3
-23.3
636.5
574.6
Stats
05/18/13Charlottesville
Charlotte
106
163
625.2
615.9
-0.01-0.21Expected: -0.01, Actual: -0.21-12.0
+12.0
613.2
627.9
Stats
04/13/13Charlottesville
Rocktown
314
77
605.7
560.1
0.280.61Expected: 0.28, Actual: 0.61+19.5
-19.5
625.2
540.6
Stats
03/24/13Charlottesville
Mason-Dixon
378
124
616.4
436.9
0.690.51Expected: 0.69, Actual: 0.51-10.7
+10.7
605.7
447.6
Stats
03/09/13Charlottesville
Little City
232
127
624.3
522.3
0.430.29Expected: 0.43, Actual: 0.29-7.9
+7.9
616.4
530.2
Stats
02/10/13Charlottesville
New River Valley
260
163
[unranked]
589.2
0.23Actual: 0.23 
 
624.3
589.2
Stats